New Japan Defence & Security Report Surpassing Q3 2010
Japan has one of the largest defence budgets in the world, surpassing even China’s in the last few years. Despite the government’s focus on reducing debt, which will reduce therefore the speed of current and future defence projects, it is still an area the country is clearly keen to focus effort on.
Much of the current budget is being spent deploying a fully-layered missile defence system, costing up to JPY1tm. In December 2009, a request for JPY94.4bn for the defence budget starting April 2010 was rejected. This has delayed the deployment of new Patriot Advanced Capability-3 interceptors (PAC-3) until after April 2011.
Japan’s economy looks set for a long and slow period of recovery, since emerging from recession in Q209. There is the potential for it to be unsettled.
The government established a JPY7.2trn (US$81bn) stimulus package in December 2009, aimed at preventing the economy from shrinking again. March 2010 saw the Bank of Japan look at further ways to shore up the country’s economic recovery as this must now be Hatoyama’s most important task. The national public debt burden is likely to reach 200% of GDP in 2010 and continue rising thereafter – which is the highest, proportionately to GDP, among mainstream economies.
Report of The Contents:
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Japan Security SWOT
- Japan Defence Industry SWOT
- Japan Political SWOT
- Japan Economic SWOT
Global Defence Overview
- Table: Election Timetable, 2010
North East Asia Security Overview
- The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – The Korean Peninsula
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – The Taiwan Strait
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – Disputed Islands
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – The Russia-China Border
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – China’s Western Periphery
- Flashpoints And Faultlines In North East Asia – Organised Crime
- The Evolution Of North East Asia
Indian Ocean: The Growing Struggle For Dominance
- The Geopolitical Significance Of The Indian Ocean
- China: Seeking A ‘String Of Pearls’
- Some Disclaimers On The ‘String Of Pearls’
- India: Moving To Counter China
- US: A Powerful Force And A Key Balancer
- Indian Ocean Powers
- The Other Players, Present And Future
- Passive Players: The East African Coast
- Key Risks To Minor Players
- Conclusion: No Decisive Hegemon Likely
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI’s Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Japan’s Security Ratings
- City Terrorism Rating
- able: BMI’s Asia City Terrorism Index
Political Overview
Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Table: Japan – Non-State Armed Groups
- External Security Situation
- Territorial Disputes
- External Diplomatic Relations
- US-Japan Relations
- Relations With North Korea And China
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Table: Regional Armed Forces, 2010 Forecast (including conscripted, ’000 personnel)
- Normalisation Of Japan’s Defence Forces
- Defence Budget
- International Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Table: Defence Research And Development As % Of Government R&D Budget, Selected Developed States
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Competitive Landscape
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Japan’s Armed Forces, 2007-2014 (’000 personnel)
- Government Defence Expenditure
- Table: Japan’s Defence Expenditure And Employment, 2007-2014
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: Japan – Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Company Profiles
- Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI)
- Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries (IHI)
- Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI)
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI)
Country Snapshot: Japan Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- City Terrorism Rating
- Table: Methodology
- Sources